Barry Crane’s Queen Finding Rule

“The queen is over the jack in the minors and under the jack in the majors.”

Example:
Dummy has  A J 10 9.
Declarer has K 4 3 2.

Suit is a major (♥️ or ♠️): play for the queen to be on declarer’s left, i.e. “under the jack”. Cash the king then lead toward dummy and finesse the jack.
Suit is a minor (♣️ or ♦️): play for the queen to be on declarer’s right, i.e. “over the jack”. Lead small to the ace then return the jack for a finesse.

If I had said this proposition, bridge players would have dismissed it as rubbish talk. But when the greatest matchpoint player of all time says it, we should investigate further. I see no logical explanation for this rule so let’s look for empirical evidence. By “empirical evidence” I mean to look at a large sample of bridge hands and see if there is statistically significant agreement with Barry’s queen rule. What do you think?

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